Are Writers Obsolete Yet?

Public Domain -Giulio Bonasone

 

By Debbie Burke

@burke_writer

Recently Garry wrote about an artificial intelligence (AI) tool called ChatGPT. He freely admitted he didn’t actually write it. He provided a prompt and a bot filled in the rest.

Since its release in November 2022, ChatGPT has generated lots of discussion in writing communities. Will writers, voice artists, and other creatives become obsolete? Will we turn into variations of fast-food order takers who check appropriate boxes on the screen?

Want fries with that? Check this box.

No pickles? Check this box.

Extra-large soda, no ice? Check these two boxes.

A 90K-word sci-fi saga of space travel by sentient iguanas? Check this box.

The more detail you provide, the more AI learns to deliver specific, targeted responses.

Say you want a 20K-word romance novella, with explicit sex but no violence, about love between two iguanas, separated by a flash flood in the Alpha Centauri desert with an HFN (happy for now) ending. Check these boxes.

Here’s a recent example of repercussions of AI.

Even though the submission guidelines for ClarkesWorldMagazine specify no content written, co-written, or assisted by AI, the sudden flood of AI-created stories hit them hard. See the chart below that Clarkesworld posted on Twitter:

Graph starts in June 2019 and displays monthly data through February. Minor bars start showing up in April 2020. Mid-21 through Sept 22 are a bit higher, but it starts growing sharply from there out. Where months were typically below 20, it hits 25 in November, 50 in December, over 100 in January, and over 500 so far in February 2023.

As a result, they closed submissions.

ClarkesWorld stated:

Just to be clear, this is NOT the number of submissions we receive by month. This is the number of people we’ve had to ban by month. Prior to late 2022, that was mostly plagiarism. Now it’s machine-generated submissions.

There are few enough outlets for stories now. How many other publications will have to close submissions because of bot overload?

Let’s extrapolate about other potential developments.

What if you submit manuscripts written by AI to agents who are already buried in submissions? The slush pile will soon be higher than Kilimanjaro.

Will agents respond with rejections written by ChatGPT? Or will they simply refuse to accept submissions except for carefully screened personal referrals?

Just for fun, check out this rejection letter to an employment application.

How about people who say, “I’ve always wanted to write a book”? Seems likely they’ll figure ChatGPT makes that as easy as ordering a double cheeseburger, no pickles, an extra-large drink, no ice.

That trend has already started. As of February 23, 2023, Business Insider reported Amazon offers 200 self-published books where ChatGPT is listed as the coauthor.

There’s no way to accurately track the numbers of such books because Amazon doesn’t specifically prohibit books created with AI. There is no necessity for “authors” to reveal its use. 

Discoverability is already daunting for authors when competing for reader attention against an estimated four million new books each year.

Will we who toil the old-fashioned way—using our imaginations and spending years with our butts in the chair—be redefined as “legacy authors”? Do we become quaint, obsolete oddities–verbal buggy whip makers?

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~~~

Starting in November 2022, CNET published numerous financial articles with the byline “CNET Money Staff.” Turns out those articles were written by “automation technology.” Andrew Tarantola reports in Engadget:

It is only after clicking the byline that the site reveals that “This article was generated using automation technology and thoroughly edited and fact-checked by an editor on our editorial staff.”

Well, apparently not thoroughly enough. In January 2023, Igor Bonifacic, also reporting for Engadget, follows up with further information that CNET had to correct many of its articles for problems including parts that were “lifted” from other published articles. Bonifacic makes the observation:

It’s worth noting that AI, as it exists today, can’t be guilty of plagiarism. The software doesn’t know it’s copying something in violation of an ethical rule that humans apply to themselves. If anything, the failure falls on the CNET editors who were supposed to verify the outlet’s AI tool was creating original content.

This article by Almira Osmanovic Thunström in Scientific American describes the remarkable ease of creating an academic paper with AI. Publish or perish has long ruled academia. Now a publishable article is only a few clicks away. How tempting to be seduced by this convenient short cut.

She also explores ethical and legal complexities that arise, such as attribution of sources, credit to coauthors, copyright issues, etc.

She concludes: “It all comes down to how we will value AI in the future: as a partner or as a tool.”

Her last line: “All we know is, we opened a gate. We just hope we didn’t open a Pandora’s box.”

In schools and colleges, teachers are already swamped with work from students who click a few buttons and submit an instant term paper. Many now ban the use of AI for tests and research papers, but they can’t catch all of them.

CNN, Bloomberg, Fortune, and other news outlets report ChatGPT has been able to pass the bar exam and it did well enough on business tests to theoretically earn an MBA.

While proponents describe AI as a collaborative tool used to outline, organize, and brainstorm, others caution it enables students to receive passing grades without truly learning.

Rimac Nevera
Photo credit: Mr Walkr CCA-SA 4.0

New developments in technology catch on with dizzying speed. I feel as if I’m in a Rimac Nevera with 1900 horsepower driven by a teenager on meth. Just because it can fly from zero to 60 in under two seconds, that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a good idea.

 

Sorry to sound like such a curmudgeon. Despite my grousing, I do embrace many aspects of technology.

But I also have to recognize the hill we writers are pushing the boulder up just got a whole lot steeper.

Writers aren’t obsolete yet but don’t look back–AI is gaining on us. 

On a final note, when I type “ChatGPT”, spellcheck helpfully offers this suggestion: 

CATGUT.

That seems appropriately ironic.  

~~~

TKZers: Please discuss your opinions about using AI for writing. Pro? Con? Never? With reservations?

Readers, would you try a novel written by AI?

~~~

 

Coming soon!

Deep Fake, a new thriller by Debbie Burke with a different slant on AI—how to frame innocent people with fake videos.

Please sign up here to be notified when Deep Fake is released.

This entry was posted in #amwriting, #writers, Artificial Intelligence, ethics, Writing by Debbie Burke. Bookmark the permalink.

About Debbie Burke

Debbie writes the Tawny Lindholm series, Montana thrillers infused with psychological suspense. Her books have won the Kindle Scout contest, the Zebulon Award, and were finalists for the Eric Hoffer Book Award and BestThrillers.com. Her articles received journalism awards in international publications. She is a founding member of Authors of the Flathead and helps to plan the annual Flathead River Writers Conference in Kalispell, Montana. Her greatest joy is mentoring young writers. http://www.debbieburkewriter.com

64 thoughts on “Are Writers Obsolete Yet?

  1. Thanks for the deep dive into AI software, Debbie. I tried one of those programs as a prompt. I didn’t care for it. It gave me a bit too much, to the extent that I felt like I was being led down a cattle chute. Nope.

    Have a great week!

    • Joe, being led down a cattle chute is an apt description. I wonder how much we’re giving up in the pursuit of convenience and instant gratification.

      There’s a difference between intelligence and wisdom. Your wise brain will produce better writing than any software can.

  2. I have a program called Sudowrite. I use it when I’m stumped on how to describe a place or how to show deeper emotion. I hope it’s maki g me a better writer, not a lazy one.

    • Jane, Sudowrite came up often in my research as a useful tool. As long as your goal is to become a better writer, I doubt you’ll ever be a lazy one!

  3. Thanks, Debbie. Excellent summary of the many issues emerging from increased use of AI. As the CNET example showed, readers are at risk of receiving inaccurate information, a real-time train wreck with toxic side effects.

    The manipulation of readers has continued since the invention of the printing press. What’s different today is the speed at which the manipulation takes place and the number of digital channels the manipulators can distribute and exploit the public.

    AI can and is exacerbating this manipulation.

    For an analysis of the manipulation, Ryan Holiday’s TRUST ME I’M LYING: CONFESSIONS OF A MEDIA MANIPULATOR (5th Anniversary Edition) lists dozens. As one commenter wrote, TRUST ME is “A playbook for the dark arts of exploiting the media.” And when manipulators exploit the media, they influence the public, often in the worst possible ways.

    Add AI to the mix and you have the potential for an all out challenge to the way we interpret what is real, making it impossible to discern facts from manipulation.

    Even more frightening is how the mainstream media picks up and publishes distorted posts, turning a fringe thought into what becomes an accepted belief.

    If someone tries to confuse the press with the facts, they almost never publish a retraction, and if they do, it’s never seen because of the influx of AI-generated articles.

    AI generated traffic appeals to schemers, and they’ll use it with no restraints to produce more revenue.

    AI written books and articles are not just alarming, but 1984-scary.

    • Grant, thanks for joining the discussion and adding your articulate, thoughtful analysis. The gee-whiz excitement of new technology often ignores the long-term effects of that technology.

  4. I’m an un-repentent curmudgeon on such things. I’m all for advancements, but not into the “shiny new object” syndrome that so many have about such things as this—that ‘go overboard’ mentality to latch onto stuff like this without thinking about the true ramifications. And do people think for some reason that if they use AI it won’t be error prone? How can this be since humans created it? And that gets to the crux of every matter–the condition of the human heart and mind–it affects everything we do. Which is why we should always be thinking for ourselves.

    You bring up an interesting thing that I hadn’t even begun to consider–an uptick in submissions due to AI generated content. I didn’t realize the impact was already being felt so strongly. I personally can’t imagine using AI for writing–I mean where’s the fun in that? Not even for a school paper. If I’m going to school, I’m going to learn and explore. Having someone or something else do my exploring for me is pointless. Why bother to waste the high cost of tuition?

    What will society learn from this new wrinkle? Guess we’ll just have to wait and see…

    • Brenda, closing submissions was news to me, also, which is why I wrote this post. “Thinkiing for ourselves” is increasingly rare.

      Glad to include you into the curmudgeon’s club.

  5. Seems to me author branding will become more important for us human scribes. Can AI duplicate the warmth of communicating with readers via newsletters and the like? Or on blogs? I think not. About all it will be able to say at the end of a “novel” is, “I’ll be back.”

    • Also, if I may, on the topic of branding…

      Author written works (I doubt “Author Intelligence” will be referred to as “AI+”), could be marketed as “Organically Written” in much the same way produce is sold as “Organically Grown”…

      …which raises the question: Do word processors process words in the same way packaged foods are called processed food? Under AI, I think the answer to that question can be deduced…

  6. Wow. A lot to absorb first thing in the morning. Thanks for your research.
    I don’t think AI is close to capturing the emotion of fiction, the connection to characters. If the publishing houses can recognize AI generated works, then there’s a long way to go. Garry’s demo of an AI generated blog post was recognizably “off” to his readers.

  7. Great post, Debbie. Eye opening. I think emotion is related to the soul, and AI will never have a soul.

    I like your ChatGPT spell check with the result “Cat Gut.” That’s perfect. Cat gut has long been used to make sutures that will dissolve. The surgeon wants the sutures to hold long enough for the tissue to heal, then the sutures dissolve and disappear. How perfect. May ChatGPT dissolve quickly!

    Thanks for the post, and have a wonderful week! I look forward to the release of DEEP FAKE – another title appropriate for this subject.

    • Cat gut is also a type of guitar string, giving a softer, sound than steel strings… and it’s been replaced these days by nylon – an “artificial catgut” as it were…

  8. For me, writing is play time, a time to have fun racing through my characters’ stories with them and reporting those stories, including what the characters say and do, “live” as events unfold. No machine can ever replace that, and those who have experienced the sheer joy of creation would ever want it to.

  9. So, I know I’m being somewhat more chatty – “intrusive” ? – this morning than usual, but that’s what happens when I check in here while drinking the first cup of Java and then hit ATL’s slog commute… but this appears to me to be much the same thing “production workers” went through with the rise of robotic assembly lines – but, also, to me, it seems that the ones who saw their assembly jobs as more than just a paycheck, found ways to create away from the plant or factory… handmade, custom, unique pieces… which is what writers (and musicians and painter and artists of all stripes), should be about… Artistic Intelligence should always beat out Artificial Intelligence… there’s joy in what we do… something AI will (again, not a present, anyway), ever experience… and that joy is what comes across the page and the ages…

    (I think that’s all… for now… 🙄)

  10. I think AI will have a limited role in my writing life. I plan to use it like an editor. When I finish my current WIP, I have on my to-do list to use AI to re-write my book blurbs and for Ad taglines. They may be better and they may not. I have two human editors that make my prose better, but they don’t review my blurb or my ads. I don’t see writing an entire novel ever with AI.

    • Alec, using AI as a tool to write blurbs, taglines, and ads makes sense. Many writers (including myself) have trouble distancing ourselves enough from our work to compose objective, effective ad copy.

      Please keep us posted on your results with AI-assisted blurb writing.

  11. Good morning, Debbie. AI-“written” faux fiction has been very much on my mind lately. I closely followed what happened at Clarke’s World and read Neil’s tweets and post on it. My friend, author Susan Kaye Quinn has been blogging about it on Facebook. I’ve watched it overtake the art world as well.

    Author Chuck Wendig at his site has a very thoughtful, passionate post on this: https://terribleminds.com/ramble/2023/02/16/a-i-and-the-fetishization-of-ideas/

    Chuck points out that ideas are easy, it’s the implementation of them that is hard, and yet, “ideas” are often considered what is key in writing. Many of us have had the experience of encountering someone who, upon learning we are novelists, offers to provide us with their killer idea, and split the royalties fifty-fifty. He discusses this and more. Well worth the read.

    For my part, the only “A.I.” I will use for my writing is ProWriting Aid or similar. What we call “A.I.” is an algorithm, with no soul, no emotion, no actual thought. It’s programmed to calculate possibility responses in a chat, or project what word or words should go here. It can help with grammar and style checking. Having it write a story is both an ethical minefield and dubious, since creating a truly good story would take a lot of work, just like it does if you do it all by yourself.

    Alan Turning’s test for artificial intelligence was that if a computer hidden behind a current could give responses and comments to a human viewing it on a screen, then it would pass for intelligent. The key thing there is the human interpretation of those responses and comments, and also, our desire for them to be the result of an intelligence, rather than programmed machine learning with no sentience behind it.

    I truly believe that now, more than ever, we must reach deep into our own imaginations, our passions, and bring forth that human creative fire. Each of us has our own unique take on life, on people, our own unique voice, waiting to be rendered in fiction. And, as Jim noted above, our human connection with our readers through that fiction and contact with us in newsletters and elsewhere online, at book signings, etc.

    Thanks for posting about this today! As you can tell, I have some strong feelings about this 🙂

    • Dale, thanks for your insightful comment and the link. Serious discussion among thoughtful authors about AI is encouraging.

      AI is definitely on the zeitgeist today. I just opened an email from Kobo with an article about the ethical use of AI.

  12. Thank you, Debbie, for this deep dive into the AI universe.

    I was just thinking what AI software would look like. I imagine databases of names and places. A set of “skeleton” stories for romance novels, mysteries, short stories, etc. Maybe another database of descriptive phrases. It all sounds–well–artificial. It can only provide what it’s been taught to provide, but nothing original.

    As far as writing, why would I give up this self-edifying joy, this creative adventure, for yet another mouse click?

    BTW, I was interested in the statement about plagiarism by Bonifaccic: “The software doesn’t know it’s copying something in violation of an ethical rule that humans apply to themselves.” The software was written by real people who work at a real company. IMO, they are culpable for any plagiarism that’s discovered in their product.

    • Kay, that quote jumped out at me also. AI has no moral compass, no sense of right or wrong, honesty or dishonesty. Like a hammer, it doesn’t differentiate between usefully pounding a nail or brutally bludgeoning a person.

  13. Thanks for mentioning my bot job, Debbie. I’ve played around with ChatGPT a lot in the past month, and I’ve recorded a long talk I had with it about fiction writing – approaching it as if I was chatting with the greatest fiction guru the world has ever known.

    It’s really quite amazing what this bot tells you when you learn how to formulate “prompts” so it can give you a meaningful “conclusion”. (Those, I found out, are the operative terms in OpenAI/ChatGPT operation, and the trick is to write the right prompts so it can search for what you want – GIGO.)

    My takeaway in this experiment is that ChatGPT is just another research and writing tool, albeit a very sophisticated tool. It’s not meant to replace human creativity nor should it.

    • Garry, thanks for doing additional firsthand research. Very interesting. Garbage in garbage out is true in so many aspects of technology.

      Like Deb, I find your conclusion is reassuring.

  14. Readers can spot a romance writer who is in it for the money and has no respect for the genre, aka a phony. I doubt an AI can pass that sniff test.

    The platform Quora is now using an AI to generate questions and list “related” articles on the same subject. The questions are nonsense, the related articles are laughably off subject, and they bury the real answers under a sea of dreck.

    So, no, I am not worried that real writers are in any danger of being replaced. But like Quora’s “related” articles, it’s just more dreck that the real books will be buried under at places like Amazon.

  15. The question is whether it would have passed the LSAT if its work had been checked for plagiarism. I doubt it. Plagiarism is not ‘an agreement between humans’. It is illegal and most AI writing at this point is plagiarism.

  16. “IT’S ALIVE! IT’S ALIVE!!” –Mary Shelley

    “Mr. Gessler in?” I said.
    He gave me a strange, ingratiating look. “No, sir,” he said, “no. But we can attend to anything with pleasure. We’ve taken the shop over…”
    “Yes, Yes,” I said; “but Mr. Gessler?”
    “Oh!” he answered; “dead.”
    “Dead! But I only received these boots from him last Wednesday week.”
    “Ah!” he said; “a shockin’ go. Poor old man starved ‘imself.”
    “Good God!”
    “Slow starvation, the doctor called it!: ‘ –Galsworthy

    • Actually, in the original novel, as opposed to the screenplay, the monster awakens so:

      “It was already one in the morning; the rain pattered dismally against the panes, and my candle was nearly burnt out, when, by the glimmer of the half-extinguished light, I saw the dull yellow eye of the creature open; it breathed hard, and a convulsive motion agitated its limbs.” –Mary Shelley

  17. I’ve tinkered with this subject ever since it came up last year in an article in the New Yorker. I tried a free trial with sudowrite and I have tried NovelAI, Dreamily AI and ChatGPT.

    My litmus test for the first three was this: I’d plug in Shelley’s Ozymandias and see what it did with it. The results ranged from pathetic to stupid, in an entertaining way.

    I’ve tried Chatgpt with the plot points from a couple of stories I wrote. One was a story about a trucker who comes in off the road and finds his wife has left him and his doublewide was repossessed. Very dark stuff. ChatGPT produced a sappy feelgood tale with a happy ending and seemed not to know that truckers don’t carry mobile homes with them.

    I do not think it is a substitute for good thoughtful writing, as it is the scrapings of the internet that provide the output. That brings up the possibility that the results you get may have appeared somewhere else before and belong to someone else. Also, what you input may be added to the chatGPT database and used by others without consent.

    ChatGPT is free to use right now but will be monetized soon enough which means that the free ride is going to come to a screeching halt. It’s not cheap to run and the server space and energy usage is a consideration. The financiers behind it are going to want to get paid.

    Of course, aspiring writers are already drowning in a tidal wave of garbage on KDP with people “throwing up something on amazon” and “whee! I’m a published author!” The likelihood is that you’ll get buried in an avalanche of machine made dog waste.

    I taught for three online colleges in the golden age of cut’n’paste plagiarism and I reckon that this chatgpt business will mechanize that process which means that instructors will have to start reading papers before they grade them or edit them. When you see a student’s writing style or quality undergo a shift in the middle of a document it is quite evident what they’re up to, and tools are already available to detect AI written content.

    • I’m hoping that someone will publish an “AI” novel or short chock-full of someone else’s work and get their pants sued off noisily.
      To avoid plagiarism, the program would have to paraphrase everything after generation of a draft file.
      The whole concept is obviously problematic.
      –Ned Ludd

    • “ChatGPT is free to use right now but will be monetized soon enough which means that the free ride is going to come to a screeching halt…The financiers behind it are going to want to get paid.”

      Great point, Robert. This reminds me of the street corner drug dealer who gives out free samples to hook potential customers. Soon those customers are too addicted to escape the trap and the dealer has a nice steady income stream.

  18. I don’t doubt that there are readers who like fast, shallow stories pumped out at vomit speed. AI-generated stories would suit them. But there will always be purists who want to discover the writer’s heart within the story and within the story’s imperfections.

    What I wonder about is how small presses weed out AI submissions and how agents keep from getting swamped (maybe they already are) by AI submissions. It can’t be a workable situation; no wonder Clarke’s World closed submissions.

    Maybe publishers and agents need an AI to detect incoming AI!

    • Priscilla, getting swamped is one of my concerns for writers submitting their work to publishers. ClarkesWorld obviously felt bad that inevitably good stories are blocked but he couldn’t stay ahead of the deluge of dreck.

  19. I tried ChatGPT for a short story that had been languishing on my hard drive for years.

    The scene involves two young women friends. One woman plays a prank on the second making her think she is about to die. When the second finds out it was only a prank, an angry fight breaks out—verbal, not physical.

    I have no experience in what it’s like for two women to get into a vicious argument But I expect it’s a lot different than one between men.

    I asked ChatGPT to write 400 words showing an argument between the women. In less than a minute it turned in the assignment. The result was acceptable but not exceptional. ChatGPT assigned names to the two women. There were words that craft books would tell us are unnecessary and a fair number of -ly adverbs. The dialogue was decent with proper dialogue tags and appropriate action beats.

    I amended the request to ask for more dialogue. It was better. I amended it again to make the second woman more irrational. It added a few new words to meet the request but the piece was largely unchanged. ChatGPT is apparently unaware of how irrational people act. I asked ChatGPT to include profanity but was informed that use of profanity violates OpenAI’s policy. I refined the request a couple more times but each time the changes were more minor.

    My assessment is, ChatGPT did okay but not better than I originally did on my own. It was different but not better. The sentences were technically correct but not engaging. It was blah. I think it would not do well if submitted for a First-page Critique.

    Is it useful? If I were starting a chapter and just couldn’t get that first sentence, I might give the assignment to Chat GPT. It might be easier to edit something to be better than it is to generate a beginning from scratch.

    This entire response was written by me.

    • Chuck, thanks for relating your experience step by step, draft by draft. Bots currently are not good at understanding emotion, intuition, subtlety, and nuance. Will they learn them? I dunno.

      Thanks also for submitting an AI-free response;)

  20. If AI stories take over the sales to the majority somehow, then good writers will end up finding wealthy Patrons who are willing to support them to have exclusive access to the ‘good stuff,’ the ‘real stuff.’

    Discerning Patrons. And we will be in Leonardo Da Vinci’s days again.

    • Alicia, that’s a compelling comparison. That may indeed be the future for creative endeavors like literature, art, and music.

      Wanted: a well-heeled angel to support me in the style I’d like to become accustomed to.

  21. I went and found one of those AI-written books mentioned in the Business Insider article. It was boring and lifeless. Like, it was telling a story, but it reads like it was trained on the worst passive-voice fanfiction dot net writing you can imagine. It’s technically correct, but … it’s about as exciting as reading the ingredients on a cereal box. Books that are boring won’t sell.

    • Thanks for chiming in, Kessie. That human spark hasn’t yet been duplicated. Stories that lack emotion, humor, irony, nuance, and other subtleties are flat and dull.

      Some cereal boxes may offer better reading!

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